Monthly Archives: August 2016

Last Week in Queensland – 29 August 2016

last-week-logo-2Business groups ramped up their attacks on the Treasurer, draft VLAD laws were revealed, and Thor kept getting in the way of real news, last week in Queensland*.

 

Governing

 

The Opposition and Crossbench

 

Politics

Premier Palaszczuk

Premier Palaszczuk

 

Communityolympic-rings

 

Economy and Infrastructure

 

ParliamentOpening Parliament 2015

  • Queensland’s Parliament sits again this week, from Tuesday 30 August to Thursday 1 September
  • The Queensland Parliament’s summary of what’s new, including newly-introduced and passed legislation, is here www.parliament.qld.gov.au/work-of-assembly/whats-new
  • The first sittings days for the new Federal Parliament are this week, Tuesday 30 August to Thursday 1 September – see www.aph.gov.au

 

Sleeper Issues?

 

 

 

 

 

* We’re not representing that this is a complete coverage of news in Queensland – it certainly isn’t, and it’s what we find interesting or important, and sometimes what’s unusual.  Some of the links will require subscriptions to read content.

 

 

Last Week in Queensland – 22 August 2016

last-week-logo-2Last week in Queensland*, we heard plenty about tree-clearing laws, the claims from both sides of that debate, and all about a Labor MP’s criticism of the Estimates Committee process.

 

Governing

 

The Opposition and Crossbench

Opposition Environment spokesperson Christian Rowan

Opposition Environment spokesperson Christian Rowan

 

 

Politics

 

Community

 

Economy and Infrastructure

 

Parliamentparl house

  • Queensland’s Parliament sits again next week, from Tuesday 30 August to Thursday 1 September
  • The Queensland Parliament’s summary of what’s new, including newly-introduced and passed legislation, is here www.parliament.qld.gov.au/work-of-assembly/whats-new
  • The Federal Parliament was prorogued for the Federal Election held on 2 July, and the first sittings days for the new Parliament are next week, Tuesday 30 August to Thursday 1 September – see www.aph.gov.au

 

Sleeper Issues?

 

 

 

 

 

* We’re not representing that this is a complete coverage of news in Queensland – it certainly isn’t, and it’s what we find interesting or important, and sometimes what’s unusual.  Some of the links will require subscriptions to read content.

 

 

Last Week in Queensland – 15 August, 2016

last-week-logo-2The #censusfail and Olympics squeezed out Queensland news a little, but we heard about a parole system review, legalisation of Uber, and both uplifting and demoralising infrastructure and economic news*, last week in Queensland.

Governing

 

The Opposition and Crossbench

Opposition Leader Tim Nicholls

Opposition Leader Tim Nicholls

 

Politics

 

Community

 

Economy and Infrastructure

Land clearing- halted here

Land clearing … halted here

 

Parliament

Parliament's Speaker Peter Wellington

Parliament’s Speaker Peter Wellington

  • Queensland’s Parliament sits again this week from 16 to 18 August, and then from Tuesday 30 August to Thursday 1 September
  • The Queensland Parliament’s summary of what’s new, including newly-introduced and passed legislation, is here www.parliament.qld.gov.au/work-of-assembly/whats-new
  • The Federal Parliament was prorogued for the Federal Election held on 2 July, and the first sittings days for the new Parliament are Tuesday 30 August to Thursday 1 September – see www.aph.gov.au

 

Sleeper Issues?

 

 

 

 

 

* We’re not representing that this is a complete coverage of news in Queensland – it certainly isn’t, and it’s what we find interesting or important, and sometimes what’s unusual.  Some of the links will require subscriptions to read content.

 

 

Last Week in Queensland – 8 August, 2016

last-week-logo-2Tree-clearing legislation was under discussion/protest, as was the rise of One Nation, while the business community talked up sovereign risk and asset sales, Last Week in Queensland.

 

Governing

 

Politics

 

Community

 

Economy and Infrastructure

 

ParliamentOpening Parliament 2015

  • Queensland’s Parliament sits again from 16 to 18 August, and then from Tuesday 30 August to Thursday 1 September
  • The Queensland Parliament’s summary of what’s new, including newly-introduced and passed legislation, is here www.parliament.qld.gov.au/work-of-assembly/whats-new
  • The Federal Parliament was prorogued for the Federal Election held on 2 July, and the first sittings days for the new Parliament are Tuesday 30 August to Thursday 1 September – the same dates as the Queensland Parliament will be sitting – see www.aph.gov.au

 

Sleeper Issues?

 

 

 

 

 

* We’re not representing that this is a complete coverage of news in Queensland – it certainly isn’t, and it’s what we find interesting or important, and sometimes what’s unusual.  Some of the links will require subscriptions to read content.

 

 

Labor WON’T get a 20% Swing in NT

Northern Territory Labor Leader Michael Gunner

Northern Territory Labor Leader Michael Gunner

The Northern Territory’s only daily paper has got its facts very, very wrong, again – Labor WON’T get a 20% swing at the impending election.

This story www.ntnews.com.au/news/northern-territory/labor-on-track-for-landslide-win-in-nt-election/news-story/2f05cc0cfb5a5b000b21dca80f64b3dc says Labor is currently on track to receive a 20% swing on 27 August, Election Day.  That’s hopelessly wrong, and significantly overstates the swing to Labor.

Recent Electoral Act changes are the biggest reason the reported poll results are wrong.  The biggest change is from compulsory preferential voting, to optional.  The Country-Liberal Party (CLP) and some independents will run a “just vote one” campaign, and to the extent this campaign is successful it will mean Labor has to rely far more on its primary vote for the anti-Government swing.

In this poll, Labor’s primary vote is LESS than at the last election.

As is sometimes the case in the Northern Territory, there may be stooge candidates run, to reduce the prospects of a primary protest (anti-CLP) vote going to Labor.

Northern Territory Chief Minister Adam Giles

Northern Territory Chief Minister Adam Giles

Second, other Electoral Act amendments ban campaigning within 100 metres of a polling place.  This change has the impact of reducing the capacity of voters to vote for the Party/candidate of their true choice, because it increases the prospects of their not knowing who candidates are – will they mark their ballot paper at all, or donkey vote instead?  There are other changes, too, which can be found here http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/northern_territory_elections/ and here www.ntec.nt.gov.au/MediaAndPublications/Documents/Election%20Newsletter%20No.%2003-%2009%20March%202016.pdf.  No-one can know how this will impact voting overall.

Third, it is a 887 sample, but it is a mostly (entirely?) urban/rural residential sample, done by phone.  The margin of error is said to be plus or minus 3%.  The results are weighted demographically, but it’s almost impossible to poll many aboriginal town camps or remote indigenous communities, so they must be under-represented, or not included.  It really says nothing about the vote in such locations, and in the NT town camps and remote communities are important determinants of results in individual seats.

Fourth, the report draws conclusions about different parts of the Northern Territory, but the sample size for those geographic and demographic segments is much smaller than 887, so the margin of error will be significantly larger.

Fifth, this reporting of the poll impacts voter intention, and will have multiple outcomes: reducing the enthusiasm for a protest vote amongst those who are nervous about a Labor Government, reducing the enthusiasm for those who want a change in Government to bother voting, increasing the commitment of pro-CLP voters to make the effort, and generating complacency amongst Labor candidates and campaigners.  There’s also alleged to be a bandwagon effect, of people backing a perceived winner, but I’ve seen no research suggesting it is significant in state- or national-level elections.  Some voters do change their vote according to expectations.

Journalists often sensationalise and misrepresent, or simply misunderstand, polling, but this piece by the NT News is worse than most.

 

 

 

 

Last Week in Queensland – 1 August, 2016

last-week-logo-2Last Week in Queensland, estimates hearings finished for the year, the mining sector expressed concern about regulatory risk, and a development intervention saw the Chamber of Industry significantly escalate anti-Government rhetoric.

(Sorry this is late in the day – technical problems … or, more accurately, technical ineptitude)

 

Governing

 

The Opposition and Crossbench

Politics

 

Communityworkcover_queensland_logo

 

 

Economy and Infrastructure

 

Parliamentparl house

  • Queensland’s Parliament has just completed two weeks of Estimates hearings on the State Budget, and sits again from 26 to 28 July
  • The Queensland Parliament’s summary of what’s new, including newly-introduced and passed legislation, is here www.parliament.qld.gov.au/work-of-assembly/whats-new
  • The Federal Parliament was prorogued for the Federal Election held on 2 July, and the first sittings days for the new Parliament are Tuesday 30 August to Thursday 1 September – see www.aph.gov.au

 

Sleeper Issues?

 

 

 

 

 

* We’re not representing that this is a complete coverage of news in Queensland – it certainly isn’t, and it’s what we find interesting or important, and sometimes what’s unusual.  Some of the links will require subscriptions to read content.